MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$40.84
1.79 (4.58%)
▲
5d:
+11.16%
30d:
-3.93%
90d:
+3.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MIAX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.7% annual earnings decline despite 787% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MIAX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.7% annual earnings decline despite 787% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.06
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.23
13.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $40.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.81 to $44.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.4) compared to its historical average (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 786.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.48, while resistance sits at $51.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.20 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.48, while resistance sits at $51.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.20 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.81 -
$44.92
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($51.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.81 -
$44.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.48
Resistance Level
$51.60
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.41
Wall Street Target
$51.20
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
786.8%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 27.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.10
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$35.55
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$33.17
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→28)
$40.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.8%)
$66.68
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$64.81
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.8%)
$55.09
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$60.69
(+49%)
Analyst growth 41.3%, PE expands to 33.3
Base Case
$55.17
(+35%)
Market implied 41.3%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case
$26.55
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$50.30
(+23.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
49900 shares
2026-04-15
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
174125 shares
2026-04-15
Barbara J Comly
SELL
29667 shares
2026-04-15
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