MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$56.16
-0.68 (-1.20%)
▼
5d:
+8.02%
30d:
+25.22%
90d:
+33.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MIAX is 12.9% above its trading range ($49.75). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MIAX is 12.9% above its trading range ($49.75). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.06
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $56.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.67 to $49.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.8) is in line with its historical norms (28.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.67 -
$49.75
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($51.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.67 -
$49.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.74
Resistance Level
$57.14
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.81
Wall Street Target
$51.20
(-8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
786.8%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
30.8 vs 28.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.45
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$58.77
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$60.12
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$56.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$91.70
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 17.8%)
$65.68
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$55.83
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$88.33
(+57%)
Analyst growth 41.3%, PE expands to 48.5
Base Case
$80.30
(+43%)
Market implied 41.3%, PE stable at 44.1
Bear Case
$38.65
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
49900 shares
2026-04-15
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
174125 shares
2026-04-15
Barbara J Comly
SELL
29667 shares
2026-04-15
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