MKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKC - McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-VTG CS
$51.14
0.74 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
-1.62%
30d:
-3.64%
90d:
-19.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
MKC is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-06-18 with 1,908 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MKC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.9% annual earnings decline despite 528% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MKC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.9% annual earnings decline despite 528% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.60
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.53
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKC is currently trading at $51.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.52 to $53.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 528.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.69 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.69 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$50.52 -
$53.56
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($62.69)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.52 -
$53.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.21
Resistance Level
$54.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.28
Wall Street Target
$62.69
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
528.3%
Profit Margin
23.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.61
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$44.33
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$41.27
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$51.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 8.0%)
$86.90
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$64.44
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$54.77
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.10
Bull Case
$30.41
(-41%)
Analyst growth -45.1%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$27.65
(-46%)
Market implied -45.1%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$34.27
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$63.24
(+23.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 12:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gavin Hattersley
BUY
2000 shares
2026-04-10
Lawrence Erik Kurzius
SELL
50000 shares
2026-02-12
Michael D Mangan
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-09
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Advanced MKC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKC price and gamma walls.
