MLI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLI - Mueller Industries, Inc.
$56.50
-0.92 (-1.60%)
▼
5d:
-57.96%
30d:
-56.73%
90d:
-49.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
22d
Get Alerted When MLI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MLI is down 58.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MLI is down 58.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.69
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLI is currently trading at $56.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.03 to $147.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+31.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+31.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$107.03 -
$147.94
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.9% below Wall St target ($74.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -58.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.03 -
$147.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.94
Resistance Level
$138.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.91
Wall Street Target
$74.50
(+31.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.4%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.84
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$51.31
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$48.90
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$56.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.2%)
$107.70
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 4.2%)
$63.86
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 4.2%)
$54.28
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$72.53
(+28%)
Analyst growth 14.8%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$65.94
(+17%)
Market implied 14.8%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$39.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$65.19
(+15.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Jay Goldman
SELL
4430 shares
2026-02-13
John B Hansen
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-09
Top Rated Metal Fabrication Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Metal Fabrication by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CRS
Carpenter Technology Cor… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$470 | 63 BUY |
|
ATI
Allegheny Technologies I… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$182 | 60 BUY |
|
CMPO
CompoSecure, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$26 | 59 HOLD |
|
ESAB
ESAB Corp |
BUY
11 analysts |
$135 | 53 HOLD |
|
CMC
Commercial Metals Company |
SELL
11 analysts |
$81 | 52 HOLD |
