MMS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMS - MAXIMUS, Inc.
$59.93
0.49 (0.82%)
▲
5d:
-10.1%
30d:
-13.67%
90d:
-18.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
MMS is down 10.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $80 2026-07-17 with 19 OI. Call ratio: 70% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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1 traders called MMS this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MMS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MMS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.92
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.01
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMS is currently trading at $59.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.91 to $67.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.6) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.32, while resistance sits at $70.17.
Market Sentiment: MMS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.00 (+75.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.32, while resistance sits at $70.17.
Market Sentiment: MMS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.00 (+75.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.91 -
$67.94
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
35th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MMS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 35th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.2% below Wall St target ($105.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.91 -
$67.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.69
(6.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.32
Resistance Level
$70.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.61
Wall Street Target
$105.00
(+75.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.06
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$48.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$43.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$59.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.5%)
$248.53
(+315%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 7.5%)
$74.51
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 7.5%)
$63.33
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.66
Bull Case
$89.04
(+49%)
Analyst growth 36.2%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$80.95
(+35%)
Market implied 36.2%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$40.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$81.63
(+36.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MMS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jan Madsen
SELL
742 shares
2026-03-17
Bruce Caswell
BUY
3175 shares
2026-02-10
David Mutryn
BUY
1000 shares
2026-02-09
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Advanced MMS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MMS price and gamma walls.
