MNRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNRO - Monro, Inc. Common Stock
$18.72
-0.27 (-1.42%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MNRO is down 10.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MNRO is down 10.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.69
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.30
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNRO is currently trading at $18.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.01 to $20.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.5) is in line with its historical norms (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$20.01 -
$20.94
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MNRO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.01 -
$20.94
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.79
Resistance Level
$21.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.52
Wall Street Target
$20.67
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.9%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 26.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.31
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.64
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$19.98
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 23.7%)
$35.91
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.7%)
$29.09
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 23.7%)
$24.73
(+30%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MNRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNRO price and gamma walls.
