MNRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNRO - Monro, Inc. Common Stock
$15.49
0.02 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
+1.77%
30d:
-28.05%
90d:
-25.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
MNRO is down 11.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17.5 2026-04-17 with 34 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MNRO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.5% annual earnings decline despite 161% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MNRO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.5% annual earnings decline despite 161% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.23
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.77
17.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNRO is currently trading at $15.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.62 to $21.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 161.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.83, while resistance sits at $16.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.62 (+65.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNRO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.83, while resistance sits at $16.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.62 (+65.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$15.62 -
$21.61
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.4% below Wall St target ($25.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.62 -
$21.61
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.83
Resistance Level
$16.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.12
Wall Street Target
$25.63
(+65.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
161.3%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 27.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.64
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$13.83
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$13.07
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→27)
$15.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 21.4%)
$27.70
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.4%)
$26.78
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.4%)
$22.76
(+47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 27.4
Stabilization Target:
$18.36
(+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter D Fitzsimmons
BUY
12750 shares
2026-02-05
Carl C Icahn
BUY
101422 shares
2025-11-07
Carl C Icahn
BUY
428967 shares
2025-11-06
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Advanced MNRO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNRO price and gamma walls.
