MOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$213.96
-1.85 (-0.86%)
▼
5d:
+8.86%
30d:
-6.53%
90d:
+55.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
MOD is down 5.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $280 2026-04-17 with 600 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$358.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.84
4.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $213.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $196.89 to $227.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.0) is in line with its historical norms (27.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $188.01, while resistance sits at $235.76.
Market Sentiment: MOD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.14 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $188.01, while resistance sits at $235.76.
Market Sentiment: MOD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.14 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$196.89 -
$227.24
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($251.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 30.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$196.89 -
$227.24
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$188.01
Resistance Level
$235.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.02
Wall Street Target
$251.14
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
29.0 vs 27.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$217.38
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$220.86
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$224.40
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$214.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.0, Growth: 50.9%)
$722.12
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 50.9%)
$557.29
(+161%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 50.9%)
$473.70
(+121%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 27.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.74
Bull Case
$255.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$211.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case
$161.77
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Suresh V Garimella
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-02
Suresh V Garimella
SELL
1100 shares
2026-01-22
Neil David Brinker
SELL
31871 shares
2025-12-02
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Advanced MOD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOD price and gamma walls.
