MOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$184.66
7.94 (4.49%)
▲
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MOD is 20.4% above fair value ($153.38). Market expects 1.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MOD is 20.4% above fair value ($153.38). Market expects 1.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$324.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$201.77
8.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $184.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.89 to $153.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $132.03, while resistance sits at $190.22. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.17 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $132.03, while resistance sits at $190.22. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.17 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$124.89 -
$153.38
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
MOD is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+20.4% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($209.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 12.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 20.4% overvaluation
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$124.89 -
$153.38
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.03
Resistance Level
$190.22
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.67
Wall Street Target
$209.17
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 26.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$187.80
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$190.99
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$194.24
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$184.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 42.8%)
$538.16
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 42.8%)
$433.78
(+135%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 42.8%)
$368.72
(+100%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.47
Bull Case
$295.77
(+60%)
Analyst growth 83.0%, PE expands to 46.6
Base Case
$268.89
(+46%)
Market implied 83.0%, PE stable at 42.3
Bear Case
$99.89
(-46%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
25173 shares
2025-08-22
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SELL
14204 shares
2025-08-22
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SELL
25761 shares
2025-08-11
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