MOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$200.54
-13.42 (-6.27%) ▼
5d: -5.17%
30d: -11.75%
90d: +45.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your MOD Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

MOD is down 5.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $280 2026-04-17 with 600 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$358.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.84
10.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $200.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $196.89 to $227.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.0) is in line with its historical norms (27.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $188.01, while resistance sits at $235.76. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: MOD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.14 (+17.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $196.89 - $227.24
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($251.14)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 30.5% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $196.89 - $227.24
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $188.01
Resistance Level $235.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.02
Wall Street Target $251.14 (+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 30.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.5%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium
PE vs Historical 29.0 vs 27.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $217.38 (+2%)
2-Year Target $220.86 (+3%)
3-Year Target $224.40 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→28) PE COMPRESSION $214.15 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.0, Growth: 50.9%) $722.12 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 50.9%) $557.29 (+161%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 50.9%) $473.70 (+121%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 27.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.74
Bull Case $255.35 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case $211.47 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case $161.77 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Suresh V Garimella SELL 1100 shares 2026-02-02
Suresh V Garimella SELL 1100 shares 2026-01-22
Neil David Brinker SELL 31871 shares 2025-12-02

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Advanced MOD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOD price and gamma walls.

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