MRTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRTN - Marten Transport Ltd
$15.80
0.28 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
+5.05%
30d:
+6.25%
90d:
+17.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MRTN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MRTN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRTN is currently trading at $15.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.31 to $15.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.0) is in line with its historical norms (33.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MRTN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+16.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MRTN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+16.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.31 -
$15.32
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.31 -
$15.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.41
Resistance Level
$15.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.02
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.0 vs 33.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.40
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$15.27
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$15.15
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→34)
$15.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.0, Growth: 113.6%)
$52.38
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 113.6%)
$35.01
(+126%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 113.6%)
$29.76
(+92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.88
Bull Case
$18.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$15.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$11.87
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.0 to 33.8
Stabilization Target:
$15.89
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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