MSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSA - Mine Safety Incorporated
$169.94
-1.96 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
+2.5%
30d:
-0.86%
90d:
-12.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MSA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MSA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.58
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSA is currently trading at $169.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.08 to $172.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $163.83, while resistance sits at $178.75.
Market Sentiment: MSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.86 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $163.83, while resistance sits at $178.75.
Market Sentiment: MSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.86 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$166.08 -
$172.31
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($209.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$166.08 -
$172.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$163.83
Resistance Level
$178.76
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.58
Wall Street Target
$209.86
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 19.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$164.67
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$159.57
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$154.62
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$169.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$276.44
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$221.54
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$188.31
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.41
Bull Case
$246.64
(+45%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$224.21
(+32%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$116.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 19.3
Stabilization Target:
$186.54
(+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 3:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan D Buck
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-17
Jonathan D Buck
SELL
333 shares
2025-11-25
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2025-11-20
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