MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$12.10
-0.10 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
-7.07%
30d:
-6.99%
90d:
-16.72%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MTW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.45
26.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $12.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.63 to $13.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.63 -
$13.45
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.9% above Wall St target ($10.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.63 -
$13.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.02
Resistance Level
$14.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.45
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.77
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.36
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$10.96
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$12.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 89.7%)
$67.56
(+454%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 89.7%)
$41.17
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 89.7%)
$35.00
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.40
Bull Case
$14.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$12.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$9.33
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.60
(+11.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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