MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$12.52
-0.57 (-4.35%)
▼
5d:
-13.42%
30d:
+1.95%
90d:
+3.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When MTW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTW is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTW is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.12
22.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $12.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.86 to $13.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.86 -
$13.48
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 16.1% above Wall St target ($10.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.86 -
$13.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.29
Resistance Level
$12.64
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.80
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.26
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.00
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$11.75
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$12.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 89.7%)
$66.67
(+433%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 89.7%)
$42.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 89.7%)
$35.92
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.48
Bull Case
$15.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$12.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$9.58
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$13.33
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$950 | 54 HOLD |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$13 | 68 BUY |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$644 | 61 BUY |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$162 | 58 HOLD |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$126 | 63 BUY |
