MTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$77.11
0.83 (1.09%)
▲
5d:
-4.0%
30d:
+5.98%
90d:
+5.79%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.94
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $77.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.25 to $78.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+23.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+23.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$71.25 -
$78.70
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($94.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 11.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.25 -
$78.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.80
Resistance Level
$84.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.69
Wall Street Target
$94.25
(+23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.50
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$78.74
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$80.00
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$236.55
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 14.5%)
$114.59
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$97.40
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.09
Bull Case
$124.36
(+63%)
Analyst growth 40.2%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$113.05
(+48%)
Market implied 40.2%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$54.84
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 11:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-01-05
Dj Monagle III
SELL
23093 shares
2025-12-29
Brett Argirakis
SELL
6501 shares
2025-11-21
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