MTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$74.46
0.68 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
-5.53%
30d:
-2.64%
90d:
+4.24%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.81
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $74.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.46 to $78.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$75.46 -
$78.47
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($94.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 11.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.46 -
$78.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.81
Resistance Level
$79.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.44
Wall Street Target
$94.25
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.76
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$75.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$75.36
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$74.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.8%)
$234.85
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 14.8%)
$112.53
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 14.8%)
$95.65
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.09
Bull Case
$113.76
(+53%)
Analyst growth 40.2%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$103.42
(+39%)
Market implied 40.2%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$50.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-01-05
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