NMFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMFC - NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPORATION
$7.78
-0.17 (-2.14%)
▼
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-3.35%
90d:
+0.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Get Alerted When NMFC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NMFC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NMFC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.78
Based on 0.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMFC is currently trading at $7.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.87 to $8.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMFC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NMFC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMFC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NMFC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.87 -
$8.15
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.54)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with -19.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.87 -
$8.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.75
Resistance Level
$8.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.55
Wall Street Target
$8.54
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.8%
Profit Margin
-18.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.02
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$8.09
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$8.17
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.00
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -4.0%)
$20.40
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -4.0%)
$7.03
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: -4.0%)
$5.97
(-25%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NMFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Adam B Weinstein
BUY
12900 shares
2026-03-17
Steven B Klinsky
BUY
276242 shares
2026-03-11
Steven B Klinsky
BUY
223758 shares
2026-03-10
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$126 | 56 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$150 | 56 HOLD |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$143 | 67 BUY |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$49 | 56 HOLD |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$35 | 60 BUY |
