NWPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NWPX - NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. Common Stock

STEEL PIPE & TUBES
$136.92
-7.38 (-5.11%) ▼
5d: -6.62%
30d: +14.37%
90d: +71.17%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWPX trades at premium valuation expecting 12.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.37
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.36
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NWPX is currently trading at $136.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.00 to $142.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.0) compared to its historical average (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NWPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $109.33. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $120.00 - $142.24
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 20.1% above Wall St target ($109.33)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 12.1% growth expectation is conservative given 177% recent growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.6% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $120.00 - $142.24
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$8.96 (6.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $113.18
Resistance Level $125.62
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.99
Wall Street Target $109.33 (-20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 176.9%
Profit Margin 7.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.1% premium
PE vs Historical 27.0 vs 19.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $153.49 (+12%)
2-Year Target $172.06 (+26%)
3-Year Target $192.88 (+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→19) PE COMPRESSION $137.20 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.0, Growth: 5.0%) $158.46 (+16%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.0%) $127.86 (-7%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 5.0%) $108.68 (-21%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.25
Bull Case $189.46 (+38%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case $172.23 (+26%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case $98.12 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Miles Brittain SELL 3300 shares 2026-03-20
Amanda Julian SELL 3473 shares 2026-03-16
Scott J Montross SELL 2500 shares 2026-03-16

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