NX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NX - Quanex Building Products Corporation
$17.38
-0.05 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
-15.34%
90d:
+13.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
NX is up 6.8% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $15 2026-06-18 with 6 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.19
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NX is currently trading at $17.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.77 to $20.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.01, while resistance sits at $18.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.75 (+64.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.01, while resistance sits at $18.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.75 (+64.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$16.77 -
$20.62
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
9th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 9th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.9% below Wall St target ($28.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.77 -
$20.62
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.20
(6.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.01
Resistance Level
$18.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.58
Wall Street Target
$28.75
(+64.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
-13.0%
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.43
(0%)
2-Year Target
$17.43
(0%)
3-Year Target
$17.43
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$17.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.6%)
$77.48
(+345%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 14.6%)
$26.21
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 14.6%)
$22.28
(+28%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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Advanced NX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NX price and gamma walls.
