NX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NX - Quanex Building Products Corporation
$18.72
0.05 (0.27%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.35
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.36
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NX is currently trading at $18.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.78 to $18.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.03, while resistance sits at $19.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+50.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.03, while resistance sits at $19.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+50.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$15.78 -
$18.70
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.0% below Wall St target ($28.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with -0.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.78 -
$18.70
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.11
(11.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.03
Resistance Level
$19.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.72
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+50.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
-13.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.34
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$20.04
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$20.76
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.55
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$82.54
(+342%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$28.58
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 15.3%)
$24.30
(+30%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 4:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bradley E Hughes
BUY
6500 shares
2025-09-11
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Advanced NX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NX price and gamma walls.
