OBDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OBDC - Blue Owl Capital Corporation
$11.08
-0.10 (-0.89%)
▼
5d:
+0.91%
30d:
-1.6%
90d:
-0.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OBDC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OBDC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.32
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OBDC is currently trading at $11.08, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.05 to $11.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OBDC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OBDC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.31 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OBDC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OBDC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.31 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.05 -
$11.28
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($13.31)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.05 -
$11.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.89
Resistance Level
$11.52
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.42
Wall Street Target
$13.31
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
20.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.99
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.90
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$10.82
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$11.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.6%)
$30.95
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 2.6%)
$11.96
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 2.6%)
$10.17
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$23.13
(+109%)
Analyst growth 88.1%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$21.02
(+90%)
Market implied 88.1%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$7.60
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$11.32
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 11:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OBDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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