OC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OC - Owens Corning
$119.84
-0.04 (-0.03%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.66
Based on -4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.81
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OC is currently trading at $119.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.98 to $123.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.12 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.12 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$113.98 -
$123.40
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($137.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$113.98 -
$123.40
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.88
Resistance Level
$126.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.39
Wall Street Target
$137.13
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.2%
Profit Margin
-4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$125.21
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$127.97
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$120.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -13.8%)
$171.14
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: -13.8%)
$87.39
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: -13.8%)
$74.28
(-38%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OC price and gamma walls.
