OC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OC - Owens Corning
$104.32
-0.24 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
-2.04%
30d:
-14.54%
90d:
-8.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 31% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 31% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$240.80
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.52
30.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OC is currently trading at $104.32, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.52 to $125.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $98.84, while resistance sits at $111.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.00 (+36.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $98.84, while resistance sits at $111.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.00 (+36.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$104.52 -
$125.50
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($142.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$104.52 -
$125.50
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.84
Resistance Level
$111.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.84
Wall Street Target
$142.00
(+36.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.2%
Profit Margin
-5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 10.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.85
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$91.79
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$86.09
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$104.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.0%)
$503.26
(+382%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 24.0%)
$199.04
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 24.0%)
$169.18
(+62%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$126.28
(+21.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-10-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-10-22
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-10-21
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