OEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OEC - Orion S.A.
$6.96
-0.25 (-3.40%)
▼
5d:
-8.61%
30d:
+0.94%
90d:
-2.18%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OEC trades at premium valuation expecting 20.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: OEC trades at premium valuation expecting 20.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OEC is currently trading at $6.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.74 to $7.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.69, while resistance sits at $8.40. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.69, while resistance sits at $8.40. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$6.74 -
$7.71
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($6.56)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 20.3% growth with -3.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.74 -
$7.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.69
Resistance Level
$8.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.96
Wall Street Target
$6.56
(-8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.3%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 11.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.66
(+20%)
2-Year Target
$10.42
(+45%)
3-Year Target
$12.54
(+74%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.22
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 115.7%)
$26.83
(+273%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 115.7%)
$24.30
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 115.7%)
$14.00
(+94%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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