OEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OEC - Orion S.A.
$5.74
-0.61 (-9.61%)
▼
5d:
-20.06%
30d:
-23.97%
90d:
-12.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.04
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OEC is currently trading at $5.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.69 to $7.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: OEC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.56 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: OEC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.56 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.69 -
$7.74
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.56)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with -3.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-20.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.69 -
$7.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.63
Resistance Level
$7.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.29
Wall Street Target
$6.56
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.3%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.01
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$6.29
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$6.59
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 105.9%)
$27.59
(+381%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 105.9%)
$19.37
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 105.9%)
$16.47
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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