OLPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OLPX - Olaplex Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
$2.03
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: -0.25%
30d: -0.49%
90d: +30.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OLPX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OLPX is currently trading at $2.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.03 to $2.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.4) compared to its historical average (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OLPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $2.03 - $2.04
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1.98)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.8% growth with 2.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $2.03 - $2.04
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.03
Resistance Level $2.04
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.42
Wall Street Target $1.98 (-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -16.6%
Profit Margin -3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.8% premium
PE vs Historical 20.4 vs 16.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.17 (+7%)
2-Year Target $2.32 (+14%)
3-Year Target $2.47 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→17) PE COMPRESSION $2.02 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.0%) $2.77 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.0%) $2.56 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 16.7, Growth: 8.0%) $2.09 (+3%)
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Dunleavy SELL 93809 shares 2026-03-12
John C Duffy SELL 34962 shares 2026-03-12
Trisha L Fox SELL 25421 shares 2026-03-12

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