ONEW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONEW - OneWater Marine Inc. Class A Common Stock
$10.83
-0.21 (-1.90%)
▼
5d:
-6.11%
30d:
-4.67%
90d:
+11.31%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ONEW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ONEW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.93
16.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONEW is currently trading at $10.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.70 to $11.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.02, while resistance sits at $11.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.50 (+24.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.02, while resistance sits at $11.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.50 (+24.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.70 -
$11.46
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($13.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -8.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.70 -
$11.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.02
Resistance Level
$11.53
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.64
Wall Street Target
$13.50
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.3%
Profit Margin
-6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.86
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$10.90
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$10.93
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 105.0%)
$74.85
(+591%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 105.0%)
$36.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 105.0%)
$31.07
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONEW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Troiano
SELL
1662 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
18008 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
6345 shares
2026-02-11
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