ONTF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ONTF - ON24, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$8.10
0.01 (0.12%) ▲
5d: +0.0%
30d: +1.12%
90d: +38.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ONTF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ONTF is currently trading at $8.10, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 41.5) compared to its historical average (54.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ONTF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 62.9%

Protect Your Profits

ONTF is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.10)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.04
Resistance Level $8.11
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.54
Wall Street Target $8.10
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.6%
Profit Margin -20.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 41.5 vs 54.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.42 (-8%)
2-Year Target $6.80 (-16%)
3-Year Target $6.23 (-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 42→54) $8.09 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 41.5, Growth: -2.5%) $7.51 (+-7%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -2.5%) $4.04 (-50%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -2.5%) $3.43 (-58%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.5 to 54.0
Stabilization Target: $10.53 (+30.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +30.0%
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Last updated: May 08, 2026 11:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:53 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jayesh Sahasi SELL 21617 shares 2026-03-02
Sharat Sharan SELL 15679 shares 2026-03-02
Steven Vattuone SELL 22884 shares 2026-03-02

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Advanced ONTF Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ONTF price and gamma walls.

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