ORI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORI - Old Republic International Corporation
$41.87
0.85 (2.07%)
▲
5d:
+4.65%
30d:
+12.77%
90d:
+5.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
17d
Get Alerted When ORI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ORI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.93
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORI is currently trading at $41.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.45 to $40.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ORI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ORI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.45 -
$40.36
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.45 -
$40.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.65
Resistance Level
$39.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.56
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.7%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$43.39
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$44.17
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$93.23
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 8.7%)
$53.77
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$45.70
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.06
Bull Case
$37.05
(-12%)
Analyst growth -17.9%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$33.68
(-20%)
Market implied -17.9%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$27.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 3:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ORI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Eric Smith
BUY
1135 shares
2026-03-02
Carolyn Monroe
SELL
5526 shares
2026-02-02
Top Rated Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ALL
The Allstate Corporation |
BUY
25 analysts |
$241 | 66 BUY |
|
CB
Chubb Ltd |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$345 | 66 BUY |
|
TRV
The Travelers Companies … |
SELL
28 analysts |
$313 | 62 BUY |
|
PGR
Progressive Corp |
BUY
19 analysts |
$230 | 64 BUY |
|
HIG
Hartford Financial Servi… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$144 | 61 BUY |
