ORLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORLA - Orla Mining Ltd.
$13.35
-1.44 (-9.74%)
▼
5d:
-11.24%
30d:
-17.03%
90d:
-23.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
3d
Smart Money Distribution
ORLA is up 14.8% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $15 2026-07-17 with 4,599 OI. Put ratio: 74% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORLA is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ORLA is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.30
Based on -0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORLA is currently trading at $13.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.58 to $16.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 170.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.86, while resistance sits at $15.32. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.80 (+63.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.86, while resistance sits at $15.32. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.80 (+63.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.58 -
$16.89
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORLA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.3% below Wall St target ($21.80)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.58 -
$16.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.86
Resistance Level
$15.32
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.73
Wall Street Target
$21.80
(+63.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
169.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.7%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.56
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$11.82
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$11.12
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$13.38
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -5.8%)
$31.84
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: -5.8%)
$11.15
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: -5.8%)
$9.48
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$32.54
(+144%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$29.58
(+122%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$10.06
(-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$16.06
(+20.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
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Advanced ORLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ORLA price and gamma walls.
