ORLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORLA - Orla Mining Ltd.
$10.18
0.39 (3.98%)
▲
5d:
+7.27%
30d:
-14.67%
90d:
-39.08%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ORLA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.9% annual earnings decline despite 171% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ORLA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.9% annual earnings decline despite 171% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.77
Based on -18.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORLA is currently trading at $10.18, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.77 to $11.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 170.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+82.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+82.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.77 -
$11.91
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 82.7% below Wall St target ($18.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.77 -
$11.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.10
Resistance Level
$13.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.96
Wall Street Target
$18.60
(+82.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
169.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.7%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.16
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.25
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.42
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$10.83
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -41.4%)
$36.74
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: -41.4%)
$10.05
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: -41.4%)
$8.55
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$21.54
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$19.58
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$6.66
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.86
(+46.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
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