OTF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OTF - Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
$10.78
-0.37 (-3.32%)
▼
5d:
-5.11%
30d:
-3.41%
90d:
-12.29%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OTF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OTF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.54
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTF is currently trading at $10.78, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.77 to $11.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.56 (+25.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.56 (+25.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.77 -
$11.23
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($13.56)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.77 -
$11.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.49
Resistance Level
$11.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.10
Wall Street Target
$13.56
(+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
78.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.63
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.48
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$10.33
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$10.71
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$35.32
(+228%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 6.8%)
$13.14
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$11.17
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.96
Bull Case
$17.00
(+58%)
Analyst growth 38.6%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$15.45
(+43%)
Market implied 38.6%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$7.58
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.18
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 12:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Chris Temple
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-25
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