PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$46.29
1.96 (4.42%)
▲
5d:
+2.89%
30d:
-16.14%
90d:
-16.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.51
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.92
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $46.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.15 to $53.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 131.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.25, while resistance sits at $57.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.75 (+52.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.25, while resistance sits at $57.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.75 (+52.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$45.15 -
$53.32
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.8% below Wall St target ($70.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.15 -
$53.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.25
Resistance Level
$57.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.14
Wall Street Target
$70.75
(+52.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
131.6%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.66
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$37.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$33.75
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$46.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$162.12
(+250%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 13.7%)
$68.03
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$57.82
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$77.91
(+68%)
Analyst growth 59.8%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$70.83
(+53%)
Market implied 59.8%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$30.14
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$63.31
(+36.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
