PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$59.13
1.32 (2.28%)
▲
5d:
+14.13%
30d:
+4.01%
90d:
+7.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
4d
Smart Money Accumulation
PAAS is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $60 2026-07-17 with 4,430 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.22
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $59.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.98 to $58.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 258.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.46, while resistance sits at $61.34.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.25 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.46, while resistance sits at $61.34.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.25 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.98 -
$58.03
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($72.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.98 -
$58.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.46
Resistance Level
$61.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.03
Wall Street Target
$72.25
(+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
258.6%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.05
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$50.54
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$47.25
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$57.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$144.02
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 7.8%)
$72.39
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 7.8%)
$61.53
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$124.50
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$113.18
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$38.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$70.77
(+22.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 3:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
