PBF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBF - PBF ENERGY INC.
$47.81
-0.23 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
+13.05%
30d:
+10.75%
90d:
+3.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
Get Alerted When PBF Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: PBF is 7.5% above its trading range ($44.46). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: PBF is 7.5% above its trading range ($44.46). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.40
Based on -11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBF is currently trading at $47.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.96 to $44.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PBF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PBF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.96 -
$44.46
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($45.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.96 -
$44.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.61
Resistance Level
$44.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.70
Wall Street Target
$45.27
(-5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.9%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$38.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$34.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→13)
$59.28
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -26.3%)
$98.56
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: -26.3%)
$34.85
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -26.3%)
$29.63
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case
$86.55
(+81%)
Analyst growth 63.8%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$78.68
(+65%)
Market implied 63.8%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$32.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$81.32
(+70.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+70.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PBF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
70000 shares
2026-04-07
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
130000 shares
2026-04-06
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-31
Top Rated Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$264 | 63 BUY |
|
PSX
Phillips 66 |
BUY
19 analysts |
$194 | 64 BUY |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$272 | 65 BUY |
|
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$5 | 54 HOLD |
|
DINO
HF Sinclair Corp |
HOLD
16 analysts |
$76 | 65 BUY |
