PHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$19.36
-0.38 (-1.93%)
▼
5d:
-4.86%
30d:
-5.7%
90d:
-20.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.74
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $19.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.99 to $20.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+65.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+65.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.99 -
$20.93
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.3% below Wall St target ($32.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.99 -
$20.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.39
Resistance Level
$20.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.08
Wall Street Target
$32.00
(+65.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.72
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$18.10
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$17.51
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$19.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -1.4%)
$57.79
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: -1.4%)
$18.56
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: -1.4%)
$15.78
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case
$27.03
(+40%)
Analyst growth 26.6%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$24.58
(+27%)
Market implied 26.6%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$13.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$21.33
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alfredo Santos Panlilio
SELL
4505 shares
2026-04-10
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