PHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$17.95
0.20 (1.13%)
▲
5d:
+0.06%
30d:
-1.32%
90d:
-15.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.50
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $17.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.58 to $18.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+47.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+47.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.58 -
$18.30
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.2% below Wall St target ($26.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.58 -
$18.30
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.51
Resistance Level
$18.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.69
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+47.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 7.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.27
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$16.61
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$15.98
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$17.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.0%)
$65.77
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 4.0%)
$20.19
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 4.0%)
$17.16
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$24.50
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.5%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$22.27
(+24%)
Market implied 25.5%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$12.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$20.14
(+12.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alfredo Santos Panlilio
SELL
4505 shares
2026-04-10
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