PLAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PLAY - Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.
$11.04
-0.48 (-4.17%)
▼
5d:
-2.3%
30d:
-8.99%
90d:
-12.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 15, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLAY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLAY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.82
25.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PLAY is currently trading at $11.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.22 to $12.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLAY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+54.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLAY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+54.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.22 -
$12.75
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 54.0% below Wall St target ($17.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.22 -
$12.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.85
Resistance Level
$14.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.25
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+54.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.2%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.66
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.30
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$9.95
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$11.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 84.3%)
$66.24
(+500%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 84.3%)
$37.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 84.3%)
$31.67
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$12.26
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PLAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steve Klohn
SELL
6989 shares
2026-04-17
Rodolfo Rodriguez Jr
BUY
730 shares
2026-01-16
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLAY price and gamma walls.