PLAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLAY - Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$10.11
-0.12 (-1.17%) ▼
5d: -1.94%
30d: -29.0%
90d: -31.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PLAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.93
32.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLAY is currently trading at $10.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.64 to $13.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.72, while resistance sits at $11.70.

Market Sentiment: PLAY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+86.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $10.64 - $13.35
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 86.7% below Wall St target ($18.88)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.64 - $13.35
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.72
Resistance Level $11.70
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.22
Wall Street Target $18.88 (+86.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -67.7%
Profit Margin -2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.2 vs 13.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.45 (-7%)
2-Year Target $8.84 (-13%)
3-Year Target $8.26 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→14) $10.09 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 84.3%) $67.13 (+564%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 84.3%) $34.12 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.5, Growth: 84.3%) $29.00 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 13.7
Stabilization Target: $12.35 (+22.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +22.1%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steve Klohn SELL 6989 shares 2026-04-17
Rodolfo Rodriguez Jr BUY 730 shares 2026-01-16

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