POOL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POOL - Pool Corporation
$219.47
3.78 (1.75%)
▲
5d:
+5.83%
30d:
+22.2%
90d:
+9.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: POOL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: POOL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$306.06
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$190.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POOL is currently trading at $219.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $182.54 to $206.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $194.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: POOL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.55 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $194.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: POOL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.55 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$182.54 -
$206.61
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
Protect Your Profits
POOL is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($254.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$182.54 -
$206.61
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$12.26
(5.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$176.80
Resistance Level
$194.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.23
Wall Street Target
$254.55
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$217.71
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$215.97
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$214.24
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$219.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$336.72
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 8.7%)
$281.87
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 8.7%)
$239.59
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.87
Bull Case
$262.75
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$238.86
(+9%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$146.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$225.11
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is POOL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
De La Mesa Manuel J Perez
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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Advanced POOL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's POOL price and gamma walls.
