Is QXO stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, QXO is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: QXO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of QXO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for QXO to be between $18.20 and $22.60. The current price is $16.33.

What is the analyst price target for QXO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for QXO is $31.50. This implies a potential upside of 92.9% from current levels.

QXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QXO - QXO, Inc.

WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS

$16.33

-1.10 (-6.31%) ▼

5d: -12.95%

30d: -32.66%

90d: -39.67%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your QXO Gains

Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 13, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

QXO is down 13.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-06-18 with 4,547 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QXO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$35.89

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$22.29

26.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $16.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.20 to $22.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (43.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: QXO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+92.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $18.20 - $22.60

Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.3%)
BULLISH: Trading 92.9% below Wall St target ($31.50)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-13.0%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.20 - $22.60

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.46

Resistance Level $20.18

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.15

Wall Street Target $31.50 (+92.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 12716.3%

Profit Margin -6.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -19.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 22.2 vs 43.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -19.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $14.70 (-10%)

2-Year Target $13.23 (-19%)

3-Year Target $11.90 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→43) $23.11 (+42%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 114.8%) $55.11 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 114.8%) $54.92 (+236%)

Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 114.8%) $46.68 (+186%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 43.0

Stabilization Target: $31.70 (+94.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +94.1%

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Last updated: May 16, 2026 12:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM

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