RDVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RDVT - Red Violet, Inc. Common Stock
$46.93
1.54 (3.39%)
▲
5d:
-5.57%
30d:
+22.63%
90d:
+12.65%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
RDVT is up 6.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $30 2026-07-17 with 15 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RDVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RDVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.14
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RDVT is currently trading at $46.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.82 to $44.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.9) compared to its historical average (32.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RDVT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.06, while resistance sits at $50.85. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: RDVT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.50 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RDVT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.06, while resistance sits at $50.85. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: RDVT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.50 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.82 -
$44.91
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RDVT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($63.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.82 -
$44.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.87
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.06
Resistance Level
$50.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.88
Wall Street Target
$63.50
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 32.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.05
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$43.25
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$41.52
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→33)
$47.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$61.49
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$46.99
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$39.94
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case
$83.64
(+78%)
Analyst growth 67.5%, PE expands to 51.5
Base Case
$76.04
(+62%)
Market implied 67.5%, PE stable at 46.8
Bear Case
$30.87
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.9 to 32.7
Stabilization Target:
$53.14
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 5:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RDVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced RDVT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RDVT price and gamma walls.
