REZI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock

WHOLESALE-HARDWARE
$30.66
-0.46 (-1.48%) ▼
5d: -5.19%
30d: -1.29%
90d: -11.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 30d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: REZI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.95
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.91
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $30.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.27 to $31.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.64, while resistance sits at $33.10.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+66.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $29.27 - $31.78
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 66.3% below Wall St target ($51.00)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $29.27 - $31.78
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.64
Resistance Level $33.10
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.16
Wall Street Target $51.00 (+66.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 928.2%
Profit Margin -6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.2 vs 11.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.28 (-5%)
2-Year Target $27.96 (-9%)
3-Year Target $26.70 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→12) $30.75 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.9%) $78.00 (+154%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 5.9%) $36.39 (+19%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: 5.9%) $30.93 (+1%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 11.7
Stabilization Target: $35.30 (+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.1%
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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