RGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RGR - Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.
$37.65
0.03 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
-2.03%
30d:
-3.06%
90d:
-7.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When RGR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.71
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.70
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RGR is currently trading at $37.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.06 to $39.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RGR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.00 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RGR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RGR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.00 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.06 -
$39.76
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($47.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 4.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.06 -
$39.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.76
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.39
Resistance Level
$40.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.02
Wall Street Target
$47.00
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.3%
Profit Margin
-2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 18.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.73
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$37.80
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$37.88
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.5%)
$68.14
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 16.5%)
$59.49
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 16.5%)
$50.56
(+34%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is RGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$270 | 65 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$305 | 59 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$216 | 69 BUY |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1525 | 60 BUY |
|
LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$382 | 63 BUY |
