RPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RPM - RPM International, Inc.

PAINTS, VARNISHES, LACQUERS, ENAMELS & ALLIED PRODS
$98.39
1.24 (1.28%) ▲
5d: -2.96%
30d: -6.91%
90d: -18.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 08, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RPM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.99
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.30
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RPM is currently trading at $98.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.26 to $108.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RPM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $96.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.07 (+30.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $99.26 - $108.02
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($128.07)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $99.26 - $108.02
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $96.84
Resistance Level $104.23
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.78
Wall Street Target $128.07 (+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.9%
Profit Margin 8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.8 vs 18.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $95.93 (-3%)
2-Year Target $93.53 (-5%)
3-Year Target $91.19 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→18) $98.36 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.1%) $158.78 (+61%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 7.1%) $120.89 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: 7.1%) $102.76 (+4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case $120.73 (+23%)
Analyst growth 13.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case $109.75 (+12%)
Market implied 13.0%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case $66.06 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 18.1
Stabilization Target: $106.13 (+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.9%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Taylor BUY 2026-03-12
David Taylor BUY 2026-03-11
David Taylor SELL 2026-02-26

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