RSVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RSVR - Reservoir Media, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-AMUSEMENT & RECREATION SERVICES
$10.18
0.02 (0.20%) ▲
5d: +0.0%
30d: +2.31%
90d: +34.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RSVR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.06
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RSVR is currently trading at $10.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.88 to $10.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RSVR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+27.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $9.88 - $10.17
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($13.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 7.7% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.88 - $10.17
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.76
Resistance Level $10.43
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.75
Wall Street Target $13.00 (+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -62.5%
Profit Margin 3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.8% premium
PE vs Historical 14.8 vs 12.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.77 (+6%)
2-Year Target $11.40 (+12%)
3-Year Target $12.06 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→13) PE COMPRESSION $10.21 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.2%) $18.19 (+79%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 6.2%) $12.18 (+20%)
Bear: (PE: 12.5, Growth: 6.2%) $10.32 (+1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.69
Bull Case $12.29 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case $10.18 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case $7.79 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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