RYAAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYAAY - Ryanair Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
$70.60
0.11 (0.16%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYAAY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYAAY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.25
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.01
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYAAY is currently trading at $70.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.93 to $72.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.96 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.96 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$68.93 -
$72.69
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.96)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$68.93 -
$72.69
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.41
Resistance Level
$71.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.21
Wall Street Target
$79.96
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.0%
Profit Margin
14.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$69.79
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$69.44
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$70.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.7%)
$226.15
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 20.7%)
$123.83
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 20.7%)
$105.26
(+49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.11
Bull Case
$85.37
(+21%)
Analyst growth 13.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$77.61
(+10%)
Market implied 13.0%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$46.72
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$71.58
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYAAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RYAAY price and gamma walls.
