SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$73.96
-3.88 (-4.98%)
▼
5d:
-8.92%
30d:
+9.78%
90d:
+23.04%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SAH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.17
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $73.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.01 to $78.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.91 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.91 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$69.01 -
$78.14
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($81.91)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.01 -
$78.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.40
Resistance Level
$83.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.98
Wall Street Target
$81.91
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.25
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$78.62
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$81.05
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$213.87
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$96.73
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$82.22
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$171.25
(+132%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$155.68
(+111%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$52.93
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11481 shares
2026-02-17
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
48540 shares
2026-02-13
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11483 shares
2026-02-12
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