SARO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SARO - StandardAero, Inc.
$26.74
0.63 (2.41%)
▲
5d:
+5.9%
30d:
+9.86%
90d:
-14.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SARO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.9% annual earnings decline despite 26% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SARO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.9% annual earnings decline despite 26% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.82
31.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SARO is currently trading at $26.74, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.71 to $26.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SARO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.89 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SARO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.89 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$24.71 -
$26.81
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.2% below Wall St target ($35.89)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.71 -
$26.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.11
Resistance Level
$27.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.91
Wall Street Target
$35.89
(+34.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 21.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.16
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$23.68
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$22.28
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→22)
$26.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 26.9%)
$67.05
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$54.60
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 26.9%)
$46.41
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.88
Bull Case
$49.41
(+89%)
Analyst growth 69.7%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$44.92
(+72%)
Market implied 69.7%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case
$18.00
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$32.11
(+20.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 5:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SARO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Brancato
SELL
1107 shares
2026-04-16
Daniel Satterfield
SELL
2306 shares
2026-04-16
Gregory Clemens Krekeler
SELL
390 shares
2026-04-16
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