SATS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SATS - EchoStar Corporation
$103.92
-2.48 (-2.34%)
▼
5d:
-11.84%
30d:
-19.09%
90d:
-5.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SATS is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SATS is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.25
Based on -19.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SATS is currently trading at $103.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.60 to $126.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 107.2) compared to its historical average (125.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SATS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $100.32, while resistance sits at $131.22.
Market Sentiment: SATS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.60 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SATS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $100.32, while resistance sits at $131.22.
Market Sentiment: SATS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.60 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$111.60 -
$126.35
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SATS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($137.60)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.60 -
$126.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.91
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.32
Resistance Level
$131.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
107.20
Wall Street Target
$137.60
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-85.6%
Profit Margin
-97.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
107.2 vs 125.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.72
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$93.78
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$89.09
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 107→125)
$104.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 107.2, Growth: -43.3%)
$75.75
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -43.3%)
$15.39
(-85%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -43.3%)
$13.08
(-87%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 107.2 to 125.2
Stabilization Target:
$121.37
(+16.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SATS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Hamid Akhavan
SELL
71005 shares
2026-03-06
John Swieringa
SELL
50088 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced SATS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SATS price and gamma walls.
