SCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCL - Stepan Co.
$49.19
-1.28 (-2.54%)
▼
5d:
-7.07%
30d:
-3.15%
90d:
-26.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.85
24.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCL is currently trading at $49.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.06 to $52.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $49.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+52.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $49.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+52.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.06 -
$52.31
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.5% below Wall St target ($75.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.06 -
$52.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.26
Resistance Level
$53.54
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.56
Wall Street Target
$75.00
(+52.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.81
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$46.47
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$45.17
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$49.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 54.4%)
$291.61
(+493%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 54.4%)
$166.02
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 54.4%)
$141.11
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$53.64
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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