SIGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIGI - Selective Insurance Group
$100.15
2.13 (2.17%)
▲
5d:
+5.97%
30d:
+16.39%
90d:
+32.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SIGI is 7.3% above its trading range ($93.30). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SIGI is 7.3% above its trading range ($93.30). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.05
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIGI is currently trading at $100.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.39 to $93.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SIGI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SIGI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$87.39 -
$93.30
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($92.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 5.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.39 -
$93.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.87
Resistance Level
$90.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$92.43
(-7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.06
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$110.21
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$115.61
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$275.14
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 12.6%)
$142.86
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 12.6%)
$121.43
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.31
Bull Case
$130.63
(+30%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$118.75
(+19%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$66.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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