SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$112.39
2.59 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
-2.26%
30d:
+8.25%
90d:
-12.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SITE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.9% annual earnings decline despite 35% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SITE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.9% annual earnings decline despite 35% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.01
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.13
26.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $112.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.45 to $112.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.8) compared to its historical average (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.52, while resistance sits at $116.25.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.73 (+43.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.52, while resistance sits at $116.25.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.73 (+43.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$104.45 -
$112.81
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.0% below Wall St target ($160.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$104.45 -
$112.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.52
Resistance Level
$116.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.83
Wall Street Target
$160.73
(+43.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 25.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.64
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$97.42
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$90.69
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→26)
$112.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.7%)
$211.77
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 21.7%)
$202.52
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 21.7%)
$172.14
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$192.82
(+72%)
Analyst growth 59.6%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$175.29
(+56%)
Market implied 59.6%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$74.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 25.8
Stabilization Target:
$139.22
(+23.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Elema
SELL
1765 shares
2026-02-13
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