SKYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$96.52
-5.01 (-4.93%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKYW is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SKYW is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.42
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $96.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.01 to $102.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $96.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SKYW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.33 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $96.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SKYW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.33 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$98.01 -
$102.38
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SKYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($128.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$98.01 -
$102.38
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.34
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.09
Resistance Level
$105.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.14
Wall Street Target
$128.33
(+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.1%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.83
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$102.14
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$102.45
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$101.99
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.7%)
$318.54
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.7%)
$130.58
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$110.99
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.47
Bull Case
$113.75
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.1%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$103.41
(+7%)
Market implied 6.1%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$66.29
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Greg Wooley
SELL
2000 shares
2025-08-19
James L Welch
SELL
10000 shares
2025-08-12
Russell A Childs
SELL
26000 shares
2025-08-12
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Advanced SKYW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SKYW price and gamma walls.
