SNCY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNCY - Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$16.86
0.34 (2.06%)
▲
5d:
-2.03%
30d:
-10.27%
90d:
+17.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Get Alerted When SNCY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNCY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNCY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.78
29.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNCY is currently trading at $16.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.81 to $18.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNCY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.57, while resistance sits at $17.57.
Market Sentiment: SNCY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.57 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNCY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.57, while resistance sits at $17.57.
Market Sentiment: SNCY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.57 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$15.81 -
$18.77
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($20.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.81 -
$18.77
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.57
Resistance Level
$17.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.80
Wall Street Target
$20.57
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.9%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.00
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$15.18
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$14.41
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$16.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 47.4%)
$154.62
(+817%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 47.4%)
$53.96
(+220%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 47.4%)
$45.87
(+172%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.96
Bull Case
$35.09
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$31.90
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$10.85
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$19.67
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SNCY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Colton Matthew Snow
SELL
752 shares
2026-02-02
Christopher Michael Mang…
SELL
256 shares
2026-01-12
Colton Matthew Snow
SELL
759 shares
2026-01-12
Top Rated Airlines Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airlines by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
UAL
United Airlines Holdings… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$135 | 58 HOLD |
|
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$80 | 60 BUY |
|
AAL
American Airlines Group |
BUY
24 analysts |
$16 | 62 BUY |
|
CPA
Copa Holdings SA |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$166 | 53 HOLD |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$66 | 42 HOLD |
