SNDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNDR - Schneider National, Inc.
$31.94
-1.27 (-3.82%)
▼
5d:
+3.87%
30d:
+11.29%
90d:
+11.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SNDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SNDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.38
18.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNDR is currently trading at $31.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.32 to $31.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.59, while resistance sits at $33.26. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.59, while resistance sits at $33.26. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.32 -
$31.12
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.32 -
$31.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.59
Resistance Level
$33.26
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.18
Wall Street Target
$32.43
(+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.8%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 21.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.72
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$31.49
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$31.27
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$31.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 65.3%)
$112.32
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 65.3%)
$107.80
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 65.3%)
$91.63
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.13 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.94
Bull Case
$38.57
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$31.94
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$24.43
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.2 to 21.6
Stabilization Target:
$32.57
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darrell George Campbell
SELL
6000 shares
2026-02-19
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2026-01-26
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-01-15
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