SNEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNEX - StoneX Group Inc. Common Stock

SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES
$110.21
-5.17 (-4.48%) โ–ผ
5d: -9.6%
30d: +5.65%
90d: -13.51%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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๐Ÿ’ก
Bottom Line:
๐Ÿ“Š HOLD: SNEX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction โ†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.46
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.83
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNEX is currently trading at $110.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.89 to $114.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNEX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $104.10, while resistance sits at $125.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: SNEX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.00 (+11.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $99.89 - $114.50
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($123.00)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.8% growth expectation is conservative given 120% recent growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.6% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $99.89 - $114.50
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $104.10
Resistance Level $125.42
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.57
Wall Street Target $123.00 (+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 120.2%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.8% premium
PE vs Historical 16.6 vs 14.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $116.60 (+6%)
2-Year Target $123.37 (+12%)
3-Year Target $130.52 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17โ†’14) PE COMPRESSION $110.26 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 3.7%) $163.88 (+49%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 3.7%) $123.06 (+12%)
Bear: (PE: 14.0, Growth: 3.7%) $103.95 (-6%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.59
Bull Case $150.98 (+37%)
Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case $137.26 (+25%)
Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case $78.46 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
๐Ÿ”ฅ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Annabelle G Bexiga SELL 1500 shares 2026-04-15
Philip Andrew Smith SELL 30000 shares 2026-04-10
Annabelle G Bexiga SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-13

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