SNEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNEX - StoneX Group Inc. Common Stock

SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES
$120.55
-3.19 (-2.58%) ▼
5d: -12.19%
30d: +12.07%
90d: +49.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SNEX is down 12.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.49
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNEX is currently trading at $120.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.89 to $134.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNEX is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $123.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $112.89 - $134.13
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($123.00)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.6% growth expectation is conservative given 120% recent growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $112.89 - $134.13
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $105.23
Resistance Level $123.84
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.13
Wall Street Target $123.00 (+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 120.2%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.6% premium
PE vs Historical 18.1 vs 15.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $128.51 (+7%)
2-Year Target $136.99 (+14%)
3-Year Target $146.03 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→15) PE COMPRESSION $120.83 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.7%) $161.72 (+34%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 3.7%) $134.60 (+12%)
Bear: (PE: 15.0, Growth: 3.7%) $111.38 (-8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.60
Bull Case $161.64 (+34%)
Analyst growth 18.8%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case $146.94 (+22%)
Market implied 18.8%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case $84.14 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Annabelle G Bexiga SELL 1500 shares 2026-04-15
Philip Andrew Smith SELL 30000 shares 2026-04-10
Annabelle G Bexiga SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-13

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