SPMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPMC - Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
$10.79
-0.46 (-4.13%)
▼
5d:
-7.74%
30d:
-3.96%
90d:
+21.6%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPMC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SPMC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.54
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPMC is currently trading at $10.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.84 to $11.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.3) is in line with its historical norms (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.84 -
$11.58
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.84 -
$11.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.70
Resistance Level
$11.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.32
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(-2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
-174.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 5.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.61
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$11.98
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$12.36
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.35
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -7.0%)
$31.33
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: -7.0%)
$9.03
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: -7.0%)
$7.68
(-32%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Ketchum
BUY
1000 shares
2026-02-13
Matthew E Forstenhausler
BUY
2000 shares
2026-02-13
Guaranty Ltd Assured
SELL
237 shares
2026-01-29
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