SPMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPMC - Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
$9.95
0.03 (0.30%)
▲
5d:
+4.19%
30d:
+11.42%
90d:
-30.1%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
27d
Get Alerted When SPMC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.21
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPMC is currently trading at $9.95, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.07 to $10.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.6) is in line with its historical norms (5.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPMC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+21.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPMC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+21.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.07 -
$10.08
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($12.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.07 -
$10.08
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.37
Resistance Level
$10.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.57
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+21.0%)
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 5.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.90
(0%)
2-Year Target
$9.88
(0%)
3-Year Target
$9.86
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$9.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -7.0%)
$29.46
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: -7.0%)
$7.97
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: -7.0%)
$6.77
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.18
Bull Case
$6.06
(-39%)
Analyst growth -44.0%, PE expands to 3.4
Base Case
$5.51
(-44%)
Market implied -44.0%, PE stable at 3.1
Bear Case
$6.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 5.6
Stabilization Target:
$9.97
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SPMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
7
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Ketchum
BUY
1000 shares
2026-02-13
Matthew E Forstenhausler
BUY
2000 shares
2026-02-13
Guaranty Ltd Assured
SELL
237 shares
2026-01-29
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$123 | 64 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$139 | 64 BUY |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$46 | 62 BUY |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$143 | 54 HOLD |
|
TSLX
Sixth Street Specialty L… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$22 | 64 BUY |