SPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SPT - Sprout Social, Inc Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$6.25
0.25 (4.17%) β–²
5d: -15.54%
30d: +10.82%
90d: -12.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

SPT is down 4.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7.5 2026-07-17 with 494 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SPT is down 15.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.45
45.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SPT is currently trading at $6.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.46 to $6.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.84, while resistance sits at $7.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.50 (+52.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $5.46 - $6.54
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.0% below Wall St target ($9.50)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.46 - $6.54
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.85
Resistance Level $7.56
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.21
Wall Street Target $9.50 (+52.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.2%
Profit Margin -8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.2 vs 7.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.62 (-10%)
2-Year Target $5.06 (-19%)
3-Year Target $4.56 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5β†’8) $6.90 (+10%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 28.8%) $56.56 (+805%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 28.8%) $13.36 (+114%)
Bear: (PE: 4.4, Growth: 28.8%) $11.36 (+82%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 7.9
Stabilization Target: $9.47 (+51.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +51.5%
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justyn Russell Howard SELL 40000 shares 2026-04-10
Justyn Russell Howard SELL 40000 shares 2026-03-11
Justyn Russell Howard SELL 23855 shares 2026-03-03

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