SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$72.70
-1.52 (-2.05%)
▼
5d:
-0.56%
30d:
-10.07%
90d:
-11.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.87
Based on -1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $72.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.15 to $83.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 165.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SQM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.61 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SQM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.61 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$74.15 -
$83.11
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($82.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.15 -
$83.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.27
Resistance Level
$87.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.80
Wall Street Target
$82.61
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
165.2%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 15.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.79
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$59.54
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$53.89
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$72.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -6.0%)
$111.43
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: -6.0%)
$60.37
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: -6.0%)
$51.31
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case
$163.28
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$148.44
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$50.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$97.97
(+34.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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