SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$84.26
-2.54 (-2.93%)
▼
5d:
-7.8%
30d:
-11.59%
90d:
+18.83%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.71
Based on 0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $84.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.29 to $92.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.29 -
$92.82
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($79.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.29 -
$92.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.64
Resistance Level
$98.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.51
Wall Street Target
$79.00
(-6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.3%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.07
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$79.94
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$77.86
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$84.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -3.3%)
$108.27
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: -3.3%)
$76.10
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: -3.3%)
$64.68
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$205.52
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.9
Base Case
$186.84
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.4
Bear Case
$63.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$91.26
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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