STRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$79.12
-1.22 (-1.52%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.26
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.32
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $79.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.74 to $81.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 125.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$76.74 -
$81.79
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$76.74 -
$81.79
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.01
Resistance Level
$86.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.66
Wall Street Target
$89.00
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
125.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.90
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$74.75
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$72.66
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$79.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$159.16
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$97.53
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 7.2%)
$82.90
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.73
Bull Case
$86.72
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$78.84
(0%)
Market implied 1.0%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$53.05
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$86.27
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rolando Guillot
SELL
22890 shares
2025-08-28
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