STRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$75.00
-2.49 (-3.21%)
▼
5d:
-1.83%
30d:
-14.77%
90d:
-5.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.68
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.34
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $75.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.62 to $87.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 275.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.29, while resistance sits at $84.75. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.29, while resistance sits at $84.75. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$75.62 -
$87.23
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$75.62 -
$87.23
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.29
Resistance Level
$84.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.88
Wall Street Target
$92.00
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
275.0%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.31
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$69.35
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$65.60
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$77.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 4.2%)
$165.52
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 4.2%)
$87.75
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 4.2%)
$74.59
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.60
Bull Case
$79.54
(+4%)
Analyst growth -1.1%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$72.31
(-5%)
Market implied -1.1%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$49.74
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$91.35
(+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard P Messina
SELL
3000 shares
2025-11-17
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