What is the fair value of STUB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for STUB to be between $6.61 and $7.68. The current price is $8.55.

What is the analyst price target for STUB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for STUB is $12.56. This implies a potential upside of 67.1% from current levels.

STUB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STUB - StubHub Holdings, Inc.

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation

$8.55

1.03 (13.70%) ▲

5d: +11.47%

30d: +19.75%

90d: -2.51%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your STUB Gains

Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

STUB is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7.5 2026-06-18 with 4,416 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: STUB is 11.3% above its trading range ($7.68). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$14.07

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.74

2.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STUB is currently trading at $8.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.61 to $7.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (5.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STUB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.89, while resistance sits at $9.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: STUB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.56 (+67.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $6.61 - $7.68

Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.3% above its trading range)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.7%)
BULLISH: Trading 67.1% below Wall St target ($12.56)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.61 - $7.68

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.90

Resistance Level $9.17

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.83

Wall Street Target $12.56 (+67.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -15.8%

Profit Margin -109.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.1% premium

PE vs Historical 5.8 vs 5.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $7.60 (+1%)

2-Year Target $7.69 (+2%)

3-Year Target $7.77 (+3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→6) PE COMPRESSION $7.47 (-1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 244.4%) $95.98 (+1176%)

Base: (SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 244.4%) $25.38 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 5.0, Growth: 244.4%) $21.57 (+187%)

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Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Scott Michael Fitzgerald SELL 1619 shares 2026-04-13

Scott Michael Fitzgerald SELL 28387 shares 2026-03-11

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Advanced STUB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STUB price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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