SVCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVCO - Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
$11.10
-1.69 (-13.21%)
▼
5d:
-7.11%
30d:
-8.79%
90d:
+54.6%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SVCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SVCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $11.10, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.82 to $12.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 40.1) is in line with its historical norms (39.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.24, while resistance sits at $14.14. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+36.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.24, while resistance sits at $14.14. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+36.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.82 -
$12.96
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($15.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.82 -
$12.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.24
Resistance Level
$14.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.12
Wall Street Target
$15.17
(+36.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Profit Margin
-41.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
40.1 vs 39.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.16
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$11.21
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$11.27
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→40)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.1, Growth: 403.1%)
$37.46
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 403.1%)
$20.34
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 403.1%)
$17.29
(+56%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher John Zegarel…
SELL
2431 shares
2026-04-01
Candace Jackson
SELL
1817 shares
2026-04-01
Candace Jackson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-17
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