SVCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVCO - Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
$11.49
-0.57 (-4.73%)
▼
5d:
+2.59%
30d:
+56.54%
90d:
+195.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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1 traders called SVCO this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SVCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SVCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $11.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.38 to $10.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 52.6) compared to its historical average (37.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.54, while resistance sits at $12.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: SVCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.54, while resistance sits at $12.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: SVCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.38 -
$10.85
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading 15.9% above Wall St target ($9.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.38 -
$10.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.54
Resistance Level
$12.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.63
Wall Street Target
$9.67
(-15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-65.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.7% premium
PE vs Historical
52.6 vs 37.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.83
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$14.34
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$16.01
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.6, Growth: 396.1%)
$38.78
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 396.1%)
$16.16
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 396.1%)
$13.74
(+20%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 09, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher John Zegarel…
SELL
2431 shares
2026-04-01
Candace Jackson
SELL
1817 shares
2026-04-01
Candace Jackson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-17
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